Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 21.270868 24.646243 28.304880 32.555207 37.346650 42.570288 48.685133
2025-01-26 16.489580 21.383446 27.202864 34.581488 43.631163 54.308260 67.792914
2025-02-02 14.164140 20.046942 27.556410 37.721346 50.979766 67.530310 89.573673
2025-02-09 11.723768 17.918594 26.328337 38.363735 54.890622 76.500215 106.546912
2025-02-16 9.736719 15.959560 24.888346 38.311989 57.590022 83.820537 121.647488
2025-02-23 8.124574 14.218527 23.422887 37.897618 59.540887 90.050459 135.482755
2025-03-02 6.886559 12.818392 22.216902 37.621016 61.512812 96.278711 149.546708
2025-03-09 5.879972 11.611724 21.115584 37.308566 63.290971 102.216929 163.426389
2025-03-16 4.715435 9.925538 18.994251 35.091024 61.849054 103.160674 169.868952
2025-03-23 4.295601 9.512677 18.947821 36.237312 65.772496 112.431268 189.305765
2025-03-30 3.992579 9.269117 19.154823 37.805144 70.461545 123.127406 211.473701
2025-04-06 3.379387 8.301863 17.919101 36.694397 70.528620 126.411577 222.110717
2025-04-13 2.745612 7.205331 16.351217 34.917970 69.481891 128.117356 230.865017
2025-04-20 2.609949 7.186941 16.907543 37.199373 75.853158 142.668929 261.642819
2025-04-27 2.580555 7.408873 17.976806 40.569199 84.451933 161.514959 300.591907
2025-05-04 2.317335 7.018319 17.708719 41.258459 88.127598 172.066613 326.089312
2025-05-11 2.031956 6.511188 17.113098 41.204345 90.364469 180.186600 347.804080
2025-05-18 1.760333 5.978451 16.378338 40.763223 91.783273 186.877896 367.315307
2025-05-25 1.535439 5.521950 15.749942 40.468650 93.440615 194.059509 388.010497
2025-06-01 1.338877 5.100018 15.139354 40.135844 94.970355 201.056864 408.680449
2025-06-08 1.073832 4.396688 13.712852 37.773089 92.077256 199.494569 413.600355
2025-06-15 1.000524 4.292577 13.817545 38.994595 96.846055 212.878706 446.802206
2025-06-22 0.950583 4.256523 14.098918 40.664775 102.694387 228.655717 485.175021